VRTX expected move

From the closing options book · October 20, 2026 · updated after every close

With at-the-money implied volatility of 31.8% at the October 20, 2026 close, VRTX's options priced a move of ±$10.30 (2.00%) over one session, ±$23.04 over a week and ±$47.21 over a month from the 514.65 close.

±$10.30
1 day
504.35–524.95
±$23.04
1 week
491.61–537.69
±$47.21
1 month
467.44–561.86
31.8%
ATM IV
realized 26.5%

VRTX daily move vs the one-day expected move, last 30 sessions

Sep 9Oct 20

Over the last 60 sessions, VRTX's next close stayed inside the prior day's one-day expected move 45 times (75%).

The expected move is the at-the-money implied volatility scaled to the horizon: close × IV × √(days ÷ 252). It is what the options market charged for, not a guarantee; a one-standard-deviation range holds roughly two days in three.

These are the October 20, 2026 closing numbers. Members see VRTX's map move live all session.

Common questions

What is VRTX's expected move today?

±$10.30 (504.35 to 524.95), from the October 20, 2026 close.

What is VRTX's expected move this week?

±$23.04, a range of 491.61 to 537.69.

How is the expected move calculated?

From at-the-money implied volatility (31.8%): close × IV × √(days ÷ 252).

Compare: expected move on other tickers

Measured from the closing options book and rebuilt after every close. Nothing on this page is live. Levels are where dealer hedging is concentrated, not targets or forecasts. Not investment advice.